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Liga 3 · Portugal
SC Covilha vs Oliveirense prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SC Covilha host Oliveirense in the Liga 3 (Portugal) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SC Covilha 0–0 Oliveirense.
Going into the match, SC Covilha had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Oliveirense had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of SC Covilha's last 10 and 7 of Oliveirense's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SC Covilha averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Oliveirense averaged 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from SC Covilha and 0.94 from Oliveirense. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 33%, against 32%, 28% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Covilha | DLDLD | 0.80 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
| Oliveirense | LWLWW | 1.50 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Oliveirense Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| 0-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.