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Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga vs Sporting CP prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SC Braga host Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 9 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SC Braga 1–3 Sporting CP.
Going into the match, SC Braga had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Sporting CP had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of SC Braga's last 10 and 7 of Sporting CP's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SC Braga averaged 1.62 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Sporting CP averaged 1.63 scored and 0.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from SC Braga and 1.74 from Sporting CP. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 50%, against 28%, 27% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SC Braga (green) and Sporting CP (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | DWLWW | 1.00 | 0.50 | 30% | 30% |
| Sporting CP | DDWWW | 2.60 | 1.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.