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Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SC Braga host GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 19 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is SC Braga Win — SC Braga to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente.
Going into the match, SC Braga had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. GIL Vicente had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of SC Braga's last 10 and 4 of GIL Vicente's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SC Braga averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home GIL Vicente averaged 0.86 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from SC Braga and 0.75 from GIL Vicente. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 21%, against 61%, 25% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SC Braga (green) and GIL Vicente (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | LLDWL | 0.80 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
| GIL Vicente | DWDLL | 1.10 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| SC Braga Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.