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Gulf Cup of Nations · International
Saudi Arabia vs Qatar prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:55 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Saudi Arabia host Qatar in the Gulf Cup of Nations (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:55 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Saudi Arabia 0–0 Qatar.
Going into the match, Saudi Arabia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Qatar had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 6 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Saudi Arabia's last 9 and 3 of Qatar's last 8; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Saudi Arabia averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Qatar averaged 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Saudi Arabia and 0.41 from Qatar. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 11%, against 57%, 25% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Saudi Arabia (green) and Qatar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | WWWDL | 1.22 | 0.78 | 22% | 44% |
| Qatar | DWWLL | 0.75 | 1.50 | 38% | 25% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Saudi Arabia Win | 57% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.