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Torneo Promocional Amateur · Argentina
SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SAT Moreno host Deportivo Metalurgico in the Torneo Promocional Amateur (Argentina) on 5 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SAT Moreno 2–2 Deportivo Metalurgico.
Going into the match, SAT Moreno had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Deportivo Metalurgico had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of SAT Moreno's last 10 and 4 of Deportivo Metalurgico's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SAT Moreno averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Deportivo Metalurgico averaged 3.00 scored and 0.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from SAT Moreno and 1.51 from Deportivo Metalurgico. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 46%, against 37%, 30% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SAT Moreno (green) and Deportivo Metalurgico (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAT Moreno | DLLWL | 1.40 | 1.10 | 30% | 40% |
| Deportivo Metalurgico | DWWDW | 2.70 | 0.80 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Sep 2026 · Deportivo Metalurgico 1–1 SAT Moreno
- 29 Aug 2026 · SAT Moreno 1–4 Deportivo Metalurgico
- 4 Jul 2026 · Deportivo Metalurgico 1–0 SAT Moreno
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.74 |
| SAT Moreno Win | 37% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| 0-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.