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Serie A Women · Italy
Sassuolo W vs Parma W prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC · Stadio Enzo Ricci, Sassuolo
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sassuolo W host Parma W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sassuolo W had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 23. Parma W had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sassuolo W's last 10 and 5 of Parma W's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sassuolo W averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Parma W averaged 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Sassuolo W and 0.84 from Parma W. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 19%, against 30%, 27% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo W | DLLLL | 1.10 | 2.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Parma W | LLLDL | 0.50 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.