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Serie A Women · Italy
Sassuolo W vs Napoli W prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sassuolo W host Napoli W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Napoli W to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sassuolo W 1–4 Napoli W.
Going into the match, Sassuolo W had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 17. Napoli W had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 9, with 8 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sassuolo W's last 10 and 5 of Napoli W's last 9; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sassuolo W averaged 0.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Napoli W averaged 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Sassuolo W and 1.62 from Napoli W. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 38%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sassuolo W (green) and Napoli W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo W | LLLWW | 1.10 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
| Napoli W | LLWLL | 0.89 | 2.11 | 56% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Napoli W 1–1 Sassuolo W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.