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Serie D - Girone E · Italy
Sasso Marconi Zola vs Scandicci prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sasso Marconi Zola host Scandicci in the Serie D - Girone E (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Scandicci to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sasso Marconi Zola 0–2 Scandicci.
Going into the match, Sasso Marconi Zola had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Scandicci had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sasso Marconi Zola's last 10 and 6 of Scandicci's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sasso Marconi Zola averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Scandicci averaged 1.29 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Sasso Marconi Zola and 1.37 from Scandicci. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 34%, against 29%, 29% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sasso Marconi Zola (green) and Scandicci (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasso Marconi Zola | LLDLW | 1.00 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Scandicci | DWWLD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Scandicci Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.