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Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sasso Marconi Zola host Cittadella Vis Modena in the Coppa Italia Serie D (Italy) on 7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Cittadella Vis Modena to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sasso Marconi Zola 1–0 Cittadella Vis Modena.
Going into the match, Sasso Marconi Zola had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Cittadella Vis Modena had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sasso Marconi Zola's last 10 and 2 of Cittadella Vis Modena's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sasso Marconi Zola averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Cittadella Vis Modena averaged 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Sasso Marconi Zola and 1.06 from Cittadella Vis Modena. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 30%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sasso Marconi Zola (green) and Cittadella Vis Modena (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasso Marconi Zola | LLLDL | 1.00 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| Cittadella Vis Modena | WLWDW | 1.00 | 1.10 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Cittadella Vis Modena Win | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.