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Reserve League · Argentina
Sarmiento Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sarmiento Res. host Vélez Sársfield Res. in the Reserve League (Argentina) on 8 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Vélez Sársfield Res. to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Sarmiento Res. 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res..
Going into the match, Sarmiento Res. had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Vélez Sársfield Res. had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sarmiento Res.'s last 10 and 2 of Vélez Sársfield Res.'s last 10; 3 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sarmiento Res. averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Vélez Sársfield Res. averaged 1.20 scored and 0.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.43 goals from Sarmiento Res. and 1.00 from Vélez Sársfield Res.. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 48%. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sarmiento Res. (green) and Vélez Sársfield Res. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento Res. | LWLDD | 1.00 | 0.70 | 40% | 30% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. | DWWDD | 1.10 | 0.30 | 20% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 May 2026 · Vélez Sársfield Res. 4–0 Sarmiento Res.