Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res. prediction and preview

20 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.30Market probability 70%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sarmiento Res. host Tigre Res. in the Reserve League (Argentina) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sarmiento Res. to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sarmiento Res. 1–1 Tigre Res..

Going into the match, Sarmiento Res. had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Tigre Res. had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Sarmiento Res.'s last 10 and 6 of Tigre Res.'s last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sarmiento Res. averaged 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Tigre Res. averaged 1.10 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from Sarmiento Res. and 0.78 from Tigre Res.. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 18%, against 44%, 30% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sarmiento Res. (green) and Tigre Res. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence67% – 33%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sarmiento Res.	DLLWL	0.90	0.80	40%	20%
Tigre Res.	LLWLL	1.20	1.70	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

20 May 2026 · Tigre Res. 1–3 Sarmiento Res.