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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sarmiento de La Banda host Sportivo Belgrano in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 18 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sarmiento de La Banda 0–0 Sportivo Belgrano.
Going into the match, Sarmiento de La Banda had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Sportivo Belgrano had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sarmiento de La Banda's last 10 and 3 of Sportivo Belgrano's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sarmiento de La Banda averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Sportivo Belgrano averaged 0.82 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Sarmiento de La Banda and 0.67 from Sportivo Belgrano. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 18%, against 48%, 31% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sarmiento de La Banda (green) and Sportivo Belgrano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento de La Banda | DLLLL | 0.80 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
| Sportivo Belgrano | DLLWL | 0.60 | 1.70 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Oct 2026 · Sportivo Belgrano 1–1 Sarmiento de La Banda
- 23 Aug 2026 · Sarmiento de La Banda 3–0 Sportivo Belgrano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Sarmiento de La Banda Win | 48% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.