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1. Lig · Turkey

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK prediction and preview

13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 70%Final score 1–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sarıyer host Bodrum FK in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sarıyer 1–4 Bodrum FK.

Going into the match, Sarıyer had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Bodrum FK had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Sarıyer's last 10 and 2 of Bodrum FK's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sarıyer averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Bodrum FK averaged 0.67 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Sarıyer and 1.12 from Bodrum FK. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 39%, against 43%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sarıyer (green) and Bodrum FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form62% – 38%
Attack55% – 45%
Defence40% – 60%
Head-to-head60% – 40%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength55% – 44%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
SarıyerDWDLW1.301.0060%40%
Bodrum FKLDWLD0.701.0020%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X74%1.33
Over 1.5 Goals70%1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals67%1.40
Under 8.5 Corners56%1.67
Under 2.5 Goals54%1.80
BTTS Yes51%1.83
Over 2.5 Goals46%2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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