Home › League stats › Premier League › Sardarapat vs FC Noah
Premier League · Armenia
Sardarapat vs FC Noah prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sardarapat host FC Noah in the Premier League (Armenia) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sardarapat 1–5 FC Noah.
Going into the match, Sardarapat had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. FC Noah had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Sardarapat's last 10 and 5 of FC Noah's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sardarapat averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home FC Noah averaged 2.12 scored and 0.82 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Sardarapat and 2.02 from FC Noah. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 62%, against 12%, 17% and 71% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sardarapat (green) and FC Noah (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sardarapat | DDLLW | 1.60 | 1.40 | 90% | 40% |
| FC Noah | DWWWW | 2.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Noah Win | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.62 |
| FC Noah 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.79 |
| FC Noah HT & FT | 51% | 1.80 |
| 0-3 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.