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USL League One · USA
Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sarasota Paradise host Richmond Kickers in the USL League One (USA) on 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sarasota Paradise to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Sarasota Paradise 3–2 Richmond Kickers.
Going into the match, Sarasota Paradise had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 15. Richmond Kickers had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Sarasota Paradise's last 10 and 8 of Richmond Kickers's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sarasota Paradise averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Richmond Kickers averaged 0.93 scored and 2.87 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.62 goals from Sarasota Paradise and 1.21 from Richmond Kickers. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 15%. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sarasota Paradise (green) and Richmond Kickers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarasota Paradise | LWWDD | 2.20 | 1.50 | 90% | 70% |
| Richmond Kickers | LWLLL | 1.20 | 2.50 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 Jul 2026 · Richmond Kickers 0–0 Sarasota Paradise