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Serie B · Brazil
São Bernardo vs CRB prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
São Bernardo host CRB in the Serie B (Brazil) on 2 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: São Bernardo 3–1 CRB.
Going into the match, São Bernardo had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. CRB had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of São Bernardo's last 10 and 4 of CRB's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home São Bernardo averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.06 conceded across 16 matches; away from home CRB averaged 0.94 scored and 1.56 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from São Bernardo and 1.24 from CRB. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 27%, against 37%, 30% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between São Bernardo (green) and CRB (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Bernardo | DWWLW | 1.20 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
| CRB | WLWLW | 1.40 | 0.90 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Jun 2026 · CRB 2–3 São Bernardo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.