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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Santos Laguna W vs Puebla W prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Santos Laguna W host Puebla W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 2 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Santos Laguna W Win — Santos Laguna W to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Santos Laguna W 1–0 Puebla W.
Going into the match, Santos Laguna W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Puebla W had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 40 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Santos Laguna W's last 10 and 8 of Puebla W's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santos Laguna W averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Puebla W averaged 0.75 scored and 5.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.60 goals from Santos Laguna W and 1.01 from Puebla W. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 12%, against 67%, 19% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Santos Laguna W (green) and Puebla W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna W | LWWLW | 1.50 | 2.00 | 50% | 80% |
| Puebla W | LLLLW | 1.60 | 4.00 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Santos Laguna W Win | 67% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Santos Laguna W HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.