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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Santos Laguna U21 host UNAM Pumas U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 21 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Santos Laguna U21 1–1 UNAM Pumas U21.
Going into the match, Santos Laguna U21 had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. UNAM Pumas U21 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Santos Laguna U21's last 10 and 6 of UNAM Pumas U21's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santos Laguna U21 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home UNAM Pumas U21 averaged 0.89 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from Santos Laguna U21 and 0.84 from UNAM Pumas U21. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 32%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 33%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Santos Laguna U21 (green) and UNAM Pumas U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna U21 | WDWLD | 1.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
| UNAM Pumas U21 | WWDWD | 1.10 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.08 |
| Santos Laguna U21 Win | 43% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.