Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal de La Pintana, Santiago de Chile

The PunterPick prediction

Lota Schwager Over 0.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 68%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Santiago Morning host Lota Schwager in the Segunda División (Chile) on 31 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Lota Schwager Over 0.5 Goals — Lota Schwager Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Santiago Morning had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Lota Schwager had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Santiago Morning's last 10 and 6 of Lota Schwager's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santiago Morning averaged 0.56 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Lota Schwager averaged 1.00 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Santiago Morning and 1.19 from Lota Schwager. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 43%, against 39%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Santiago Morning (green) and Lota Schwager (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form29% – 71%

Attack29% – 71%

Defence44% – 56%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength38% – 61%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Santiago Morning	DLDDD	1.00	1.30	70%	50%
Lota Schwager	WWWLD	1.80	0.90	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

22 Aug 2026 · Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning
21 Jun 2026 · Lota Schwager 1–1 Santiago Morning
19 Apr 2026 · Santiago Morning 1–1 Lota Schwager

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.30
Double Chance 12	70%	1.27
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	63%	1.45
Under 2.5 Goals	58%	1.65
BTTS No	51%	1.82
2nd Half Higher Goals	45%	2.09
Over 2.5 Goals	42%	2.20
Santiago Morning Win	37%	2.30

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.