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Segunda División · Chile
Santiago City vs Colchagua prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Santiago City host Colchagua in the Segunda División (Chile) on 10 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Santiago City to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Santiago City 2–3 Colchagua.
Going into the match, Santiago City had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Colchagua had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 3 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Santiago City's last 10 and 0 of Colchagua's last 10; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santiago City averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Colchagua averaged 0.63 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Santiago City and 0.90 from Colchagua. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 27%, against 47%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Santiago City (green) and Colchagua (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago City | DWWWD | 1.60 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Colchagua | WLLLD | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Colchagua 0–1 Santiago City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.85 |
| Santiago City Win | 42% | 1.91 |
| Santiago City HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.