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Challenge League · Malta
Santa Lucía vs Zurrieq prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Santa Lucía host Zurrieq in the Challenge League (Malta) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Santa Lucía 1–1 Zurrieq.
Going into the match, Santa Lucía had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Zurrieq had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4, with 5 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Santa Lucía's last 4 and 2 of Zurrieq's last 4; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santa Lucía averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Zurrieq averaged 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 52% for Santa Lucía, 24% for the draw and 24% for Zurrieq once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Santa Lucía (green) and Zurrieq (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Lucía | DDWW | 2.25 | 0.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Zurrieq | LLWL | 1.25 | 2.00 | 50% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Santa Lucía 3–0 Zurrieq
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Santa Lucía Win | 51% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Santa Lucía HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.