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Carioca B2 · Brazil
Santa Cruz RJ vs Barra Mansa prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Santa Cruz RJ host Barra Mansa in the Carioca B2 (Brazil) on 12 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Santa Cruz RJ to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Santa Cruz RJ 1–0 Barra Mansa.
Going into the match, Santa Cruz RJ had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 18. Barra Mansa had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Santa Cruz RJ's last 9 and 3 of Barra Mansa's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santa Cruz RJ averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Barra Mansa averaged 0.63 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Santa Cruz RJ and 0.76 from Barra Mansa. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 24%. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Santa Cruz RJ (green) and Barra Mansa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz RJ | LLWWW | 1.11 | 2.00 | 22% | 67% |
| Barra Mansa | LWDLD | 0.60 | 1.50 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.