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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
Santa Cruz FC vs ADR Jicaral prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Santa Cruz FC host ADR Jicaral in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is ADR Jicaral Win — ADR Jicaral to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Santa Cruz FC 0–3 ADR Jicaral.
Going into the match, Santa Cruz FC had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 23. ADR Jicaral had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Santa Cruz FC's last 10 and 5 of ADR Jicaral's last 10; 8 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santa Cruz FC averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home ADR Jicaral averaged 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from Santa Cruz FC and 2.11 from ADR Jicaral. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 68%, against 20%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Santa Cruz FC (green) and ADR Jicaral (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz FC | LLLWL | 1.20 | 2.30 | 60% | 80% |
| ADR Jicaral | WWDDW | 1.50 | 0.50 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Aug 2026 · ADR Jicaral 4–1 Santa Cruz FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| ADR Jicaral Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.90 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.90 |
| ADR Jicaral HT & FT | 35% | 2.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.