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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Santa Ana host Cariari Pococi in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 4 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Santa Ana to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Santa Ana 1–0 Cariari Pococi.
Going into the match, Santa Ana had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Cariari Pococi had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Santa Ana's last 9 and 7 of Cariari Pococi's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santa Ana averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Cariari Pococi averaged 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Santa Ana and 0.65 from Cariari Pococi. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 15%, against 46%, 27% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Santa Ana (green) and Cariari Pococi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Ana | WLLWW | 1.44 | 1.11 | 56% | 56% |
| Cariari Pococi | LDWLD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Oct 2026 · Cariari Pococi 1–2 Santa Ana
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Santa Ana Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Santa Ana HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.