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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain

Sant Andreu vs Antequera prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 72%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sant Andreu host Antequera in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sant Andreu 2–2 Antequera.

Going into the match, Sant Andreu had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Antequera had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Sant Andreu's last 10 and 4 of Antequera's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sant Andreu averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Antequera averaged 1.00 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Sant Andreu and 1.10 from Antequera. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 39%, 30% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sant Andreu (green) and Antequera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%
Attack38% – 62%
Defence55% – 45%
Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Sant AndreuWDLWL0.900.9040%20%
AntequeraWDDLW1.301.1040%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1272%1.28
Over 1.5 Goals72%1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals54%1.75
BTTS Yes51%1.80
Over 8.5 Corners50%1.83
Over 2.5 Goals46%2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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