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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Sanremese vs Bra prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sanremese host Bra in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sanremese 3–0 Bra.
Going into the match, Sanremese had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Bra had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 9, with 6 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sanremese's last 9 and 5 of Bra's last 9; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sanremese averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Bra averaged 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Sanremese and 0.71 from Bra. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 15%, against 48%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sanremese (green) and Bra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.74 |
| Sanremese Win | 48% | 1.97 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
| Sanremese HT & FT | 32% | 3.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.