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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Sanluqueño vs Recreativo Huelva prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sanluqueño host Recreativo Huelva in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Recreativo Huelva to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sanluqueño 3–3 Recreativo Huelva.
Going into the match, Sanluqueño had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Recreativo Huelva had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sanluqueño's last 10 and 7 of Recreativo Huelva's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sanluqueño averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Recreativo Huelva averaged 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Sanluqueño and 1.49 from Recreativo Huelva. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 38%, against 26%, 28% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sanluqueño (green) and Recreativo Huelva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanluqueño | DLDWD | 0.80 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
| Recreativo Huelva | WDWLW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Recreativo Huelva Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Recreativo Huelva HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.