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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Sanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sanluqueño host Mijas Las Lagunas in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sanluqueño to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sanluqueño 2–2 Mijas Las Lagunas.
Going into the match, Sanluqueño had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Mijas Las Lagunas had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sanluqueño's last 10 and 5 of Mijas Las Lagunas's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sanluqueño averaged 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Mijas Las Lagunas averaged 1.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Sanluqueño and 1.82 from Mijas Las Lagunas. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 45%, against 44%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sanluqueño (green) and Mijas Las Lagunas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanluqueño | LDWDD | 0.70 | 1.50 | 40% | 40% |
| Mijas Las Lagunas | WDDLW | 2.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Sanluqueño Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.