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2. Lig · Turkey
Şanlıurfaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Şanlıurfaspor host Güzide Gebzespor in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 5 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Güzide Gebzespor to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Şanlıurfaspor 1–1 Güzide Gebzespor.
Going into the match, Şanlıurfaspor had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Güzide Gebzespor had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 10 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Şanlıurfaspor's last 9 and 4 of Güzide Gebzespor's last 7; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Şanlıurfaspor averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Güzide Gebzespor averaged 2.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Şanlıurfaspor and 1.41 from Güzide Gebzespor. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 42%, against 47%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Şanlıurfaspor (green) and Güzide Gebzespor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şanlıurfaspor | LDDWD | 1.56 | 1.22 | 67% | 44% |
| Güzide Gebzespor | DDWWD | 1.43 | 1.29 | 57% | 57% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Şanlıurfaspor HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.