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Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sandefjord host Fredrikstad in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sandefjord to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sandefjord had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 10. Fredrikstad had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sandefjord's last 10 and 5 of Fredrikstad's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sandefjord averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Fredrikstad averaged 1.50 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Sandefjord and 0.94 from Fredrikstad. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 27%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sandefjord (green) and Fredrikstad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord | WWLDD | 2.40 | 1.00 | 30% | 50% |
| Fredrikstad | DWDLW | 1.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Fredrikstad 1–0 Sandefjord
- 25 May 2026 · Sandefjord 1–1 Fredrikstad
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Sandefjord Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.