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3. Division - Girone 6 · Norway
Sandefjord II vs Råde prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sandefjord II host Råde in the 3. Division - Girone 6 (Norway) on 12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Råde to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sandefjord II 0–2 Råde.
Going into the match, Sandefjord II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 21. Råde had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Sandefjord II's last 10 and 8 of Råde's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sandefjord II averaged 2.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Råde averaged 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Sandefjord II and 2.75 from Råde. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 58%, against 38%, 21% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sandefjord II (green) and Råde (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord II | DWWDW | 2.10 | 2.10 | 90% | 70% |
| Råde | DLDWW | 2.30 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Råde 3–1 Sandefjord II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Råde Win | 41% | 2.15 |
| Råde HT & FT | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.