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Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran
Sanat Naft vs Aluminium Arak prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sanat Naft host Aluminium Arak in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Aluminium Arak Win — Aluminium Arak to win. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sanat Naft 2–1 Aluminium Arak.
Going into the match, Sanat Naft had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Aluminium Arak had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 8, with 10 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sanat Naft's last 10 and 4 of Aluminium Arak's last 8; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sanat Naft averaged 0.56 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Aluminium Arak averaged 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Sanat Naft and 1.16 from Aluminium Arak. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 40%, against 16%, 28% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sanat Naft (green) and Aluminium Arak (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanat Naft | LLLDD | 0.60 | 1.10 | 30% | 30% |
| Aluminium Arak | LDDWD | 1.25 | 0.75 | 50% | 38% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.54 |
| Aluminium Arak Win | 56% | 1.61 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 41% | 2.22 |
| Aluminium Arak HT & FT | 39% | 2.42 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.