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Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
San Martín vs Covadonga prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Martín host Covadonga in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Covadonga Win — Covadonga to win. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: San Martín 4–2 Covadonga.
Going into the match, San Martín had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Covadonga had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of San Martín's last 10 and 6 of Covadonga's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Martín averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Covadonga averaged 2.17 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from San Martín and 2.59 from Covadonga. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 61%. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Martín (green) and Covadonga (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín | WDDLL | 1.00 | 1.50 | 40% | 40% |
| Covadonga | WWWDW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.