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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Martin Formosa host Olimpo Bahia Blanca in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Martin Formosa 2–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Going into the match, San Martin Formosa had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Olimpo Bahia Blanca had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of San Martin Formosa's last 10 and 6 of Olimpo Bahia Blanca's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Martin Formosa averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Olimpo Bahia Blanca averaged 0.75 scored and 0.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from San Martin Formosa and 0.62 from Olimpo Bahia Blanca. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 19%, against 45%, 31% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Martin Formosa (green) and Olimpo Bahia Blanca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin Formosa | DDWDW | 1.50 | 0.60 | 50% | 30% |
| Olimpo Bahia Blanca | DWWDD | 1.20 | 0.70 | 60% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Oct 2026 · Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–1 San Martin Formosa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| San Martin Formosa Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.