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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
San Martin Formosa vs Atenas prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Martin Formosa host Atenas in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 4 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Martin Formosa 1–1 Atenas.
Going into the match, San Martin Formosa had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Atenas had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of San Martin Formosa's last 10 and 5 of Atenas's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Martin Formosa averaged 2.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Atenas averaged 0.82 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from San Martin Formosa and 0.75 from Atenas. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 13%, against 64%, 26% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Martin Formosa (green) and Atenas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin Formosa | WDWLW | 1.60 | 0.50 | 40% | 40% |
| Atenas | LLWLW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Sep 2026 · Atenas 0–1 San Martin Formosa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| San Martin Formosa Win | 64% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| San Martin Formosa HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.