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Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Spain
San Marcial vs River Ebro prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Marcial host River Ebro in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — San Marcial to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: San Marcial 1–1 River Ebro.
Going into the match, San Marcial had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. River Ebro had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4, with 4 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of San Marcial's last 9 and 2 of River Ebro's last 4; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Marcial averaged 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home River Ebro averaged 0.00 scored and 4.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.42 goals from San Marcial and 0.71 from River Ebro. From that it rates a home win at 74%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 8%. For the published pick itself the model gives 92%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Marcial (green) and River Ebro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Marcial | LDDWL | 1.00 | 1.56 | 44% | 44% |
| River Ebro | WLLL | 1.00 | 3.00 | 50% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.