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Primera B · Chile
San Luis vs Union Espanola prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Luis host Union Espanola in the Primera B (Chile) on 4 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Luis 2–0 Union Espanola.
Going into the match, San Luis had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 8. Union Espanola had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of San Luis's last 10 and 5 of Union Espanola's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Luis averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Union Espanola averaged 1.09 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from San Luis and 0.63 from Union Espanola. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 10%, against 52%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Luis (green) and Union Espanola (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Luis | WWWWL | 1.50 | 0.80 | 60% | 30% |
| Union Espanola | DLDLL | 0.90 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| San Luis Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| San Luis HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.