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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Lorenzo host Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — San Lorenzo to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Lorenzo 1–0 Deportivo Riestra.
Going into the match, San Lorenzo had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Deportivo Riestra had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of San Lorenzo's last 10 and 5 of Deportivo Riestra's last 10; 1 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Lorenzo averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Deportivo Riestra averaged 0.45 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.75 goals from San Lorenzo and 0.66 from Deportivo Riestra. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 27%, against 39%, 34% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Lorenzo (green) and Deportivo Riestra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | LLDWL | 0.40 | 1.00 | 10% | 10% |
| Deportivo Riestra | DDLDD | 0.70 | 1.00 | 50% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Jul 2026 · San Lorenzo 1–1 Deportivo Riestra
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| San Lorenzo Win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.