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Reserve League · Argentina
San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res. prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Lorenzo Res. host Sarmiento Res. in the Reserve League (Argentina) on 15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — San Lorenzo Res. to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Lorenzo Res. 1–1 Sarmiento Res..
Going into the match, San Lorenzo Res. had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Sarmiento Res. had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of San Lorenzo Res.'s last 10 and 3 of Sarmiento Res.'s last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Lorenzo Res. averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sarmiento Res. averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from San Lorenzo Res. and 0.91 from Sarmiento Res.. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 28%, against 43%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Lorenzo Res. (green) and Sarmiento Res. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo Res. | WWLLL | 1.00 | 1.10 | 30% | 30% |
| Sarmiento Res. | LLWLD | 0.80 | 0.70 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 May 2026 · Sarmiento Res. 1–2 San Lorenzo Res.