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Reserve League · Argentina
San Lorenzo Res. vs River Plate Res. prediction and preview
28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Lorenzo Res. host River Plate Res. in the Reserve League (Argentina) on 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — San Lorenzo Res. to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Lorenzo Res. 0–3 River Plate Res..
Going into the match, San Lorenzo Res. had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. River Plate Res. had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of San Lorenzo Res.'s last 10 and 7 of River Plate Res.'s last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Lorenzo Res. averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home River Plate Res. averaged 1.31 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from San Lorenzo Res. and 1.53 from River Plate Res.. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 47%, against 30%, 27% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Lorenzo Res. (green) and River Plate Res. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo Res. | WDWWL | 1.20 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| River Plate Res. | DLDWD | 1.70 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 May 2026 · River Plate Res. 1–1 San Lorenzo Res.
Other Reserve League matches that day
- Banfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res. · 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Reserve League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.30 · FT 1–1 - Colón Res. vs San Martín San Juan Res. · 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Reserve League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–1 - Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Deportivo Riestra Res. · 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Reserve League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 · FT 1–1 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2 vs Unión Santa Fe Res. · 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Reserve League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 1–0 - Tigre Res. vs Racing Club Res. · 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Reserve League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 · FT 1–3