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Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Panama
San Francisco FC vs UMECIT prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
San Francisco FC host UMECIT in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol (Panama) on 3 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — San Francisco FC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: San Francisco FC 0–1 UMECIT.
Going into the match, San Francisco FC had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 13. UMECIT had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of San Francisco FC's last 10 and 4 of UMECIT's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Francisco FC averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home UMECIT averaged 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from San Francisco FC and 0.98 from UMECIT. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 36%, 29% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between San Francisco FC (green) and UMECIT (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco FC | WLWDW | 2.20 | 1.30 | 90% | 80% |
| UMECIT | LWWWD | 0.90 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| San Francisco FC Win | 36% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.