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Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Samsunspor host Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Samsunspor 0–3 Trabzonspor.
Going into the match, Samsunspor had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Trabzonspor had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Samsunspor's last 10 and 4 of Trabzonspor's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Samsunspor averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Trabzonspor averaged 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Samsunspor and 1.64 from Trabzonspor. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 50%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Samsunspor (green) and Trabzonspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | LLLLW | 1.00 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
| Trabzonspor | LWLWL | 1.40 | 1.30 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Apr 2026 · Samsunspor 0–0 Trabzonspor
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.