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Cup · Slovakia

Šamorín vs Humenné prediction and preview

14 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.53Market probability 61%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Šamorín host Humenné in the Cup (Slovakia) on 14 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Šamorín 2–1 Humenné.

Going into the match, Šamorín had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Humenné had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Šamorín's last 10 and 4 of Humenné's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Šamorín averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Humenné averaged 1.92 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Šamorín and 2.02 from Humenné. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 55%, against 64%, 18% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Šamorín (green) and Humenné (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence67% – 33%
Head-to-head38% – 62%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ŠamorínDLWWW1.901.0070%60%
HumennéLLDDL0.501.5040%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No76%1.21
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.23
Šamorín Win65%1.40
Over 2.5 Goals61%1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals57%1.62
BTTS Yes55%1.66
Šamorín HT & FT43%2.17
2-110%9.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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