Samgurali vs Spaeri prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.20Market probability 76%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Samgurali host Spaeri in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Samgurali had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Spaeri had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 22 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Samgurali's last 10 and 7 of Spaeri's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Samgurali averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Spaeri averaged 1.08 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from Samgurali and 1.48 from Spaeri. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 28%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Samgurali (green) and Spaeri (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form75% – 25%

Attack64% – 36%

Defence55% – 45%

Head-to-head64% – 36%

Goals46% – 54%

Overall strength61% – 39%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Samgurali	LWWLL	1.70	1.90	70%	70%
Spaeri	DLDLL	1.20	2.20	70%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

22 Aug 2026 · Spaeri 3–4 Samgurali
20 Jul 2026 · Spaeri 0–1 Samgurali
17 May 2026 · Samgurali 0–0 Spaeri

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	76%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	74%	1.23
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	73%	1.24
BTTS Yes	59%	1.56
Over 2.5 Goals	59%	1.60
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.55
Samgurali Win	54%	1.73
2nd Half Higher Goals	48%	1.95

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.