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Second League - Group 3 · Russia

Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.20Market probability 76%Final score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Salyut-Belgorod host Arsenal Tula II in the Second League - Group 3 (Russia) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Salyut-Belgorod 3–0 Arsenal Tula II.

Going into the match, Salyut-Belgorod had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 10. Arsenal Tula II had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Salyut-Belgorod's last 10 and 5 of Arsenal Tula II's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Salyut-Belgorod averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Arsenal Tula II averaged 0.67 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.31 goals from Salyut-Belgorod and 0.63 from Arsenal Tula II. From that it rates a home win at 74%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 8%, against 69%, 20% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Salyut-Belgorod (green) and Arsenal Tula II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form72% – 28%
Attack88% – 12%
Defence38% – 63%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals63% – 37%
Overall strength70% – 29%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Salyut-BelgorodWWWDW2.201.0060%60%
Arsenal Tula IIWLDDL0.600.8050%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals76%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.31
Salyut-Belgorod Win69%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals67%1.38
BTTS No54%1.72
Over 2.5 Goals54%1.70
Under 2.5 Goals46%2.03
Over 3.5 Goals33%2.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Second League - Group 3 matches that day