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Ligue 1 · Burkina Faso
Salitas vs Réal du Faso prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Salitas host Réal du Faso in the Ligue 1 (Burkina Faso) on 2 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Salitas 1–3 Réal du Faso.
Going into the match, Salitas had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Réal du Faso had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 7, with 6 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Salitas's last 7 and 3 of Réal du Faso's last 7; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Salitas averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Réal du Faso averaged 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Salitas and 1.91 from Réal du Faso. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 60%, against 43%, 32% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Salitas (green) and Réal du Faso (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salitas | LDWWL | 1.57 | 2.29 | 86% | 100% |
| Réal du Faso | DLDWW | 0.86 | 0.86 | 43% | 29% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Salitas Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.