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FA Cup · England
Salisbury vs Dulwich Hamlet prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Salisbury host Dulwich Hamlet in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Salisbury Win — Salisbury to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Salisbury 5–0 Dulwich Hamlet.
Going into the match, Salisbury had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Dulwich Hamlet had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Salisbury's last 10 and 6 of Dulwich Hamlet's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Salisbury averaged 3.00 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Dulwich Hamlet averaged 1.14 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.89 goals from Salisbury and 0.78 from Dulwich Hamlet. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 7%, against 60%, 20% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Salisbury (green) and Dulwich Hamlet (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salisbury | WWWDW | 1.70 | 0.80 | 60% | 40% |
| Dulwich Hamlet | WLWWW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Salisbury Win | 60% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.63 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Salisbury HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.