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League Two · England
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Salford City host Fleetwood Town in the League Two (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Salford City 1–0 Fleetwood Town.
Going into the match, Salford City had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Fleetwood Town had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Salford City's last 10 and 5 of Fleetwood Town's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Salford City averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Fleetwood Town averaged 1.50 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Salford City and 0.90 from Fleetwood Town. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 56%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Salford City (green) and Fleetwood Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City | WLWDW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Fleetwood Town | LLLWD | 1.30 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Salford City Win | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.