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Liga Mayor · Dominican Republic
Salcedo vs Moca prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Salcedo host Moca in the Liga Mayor (Dominican Republic) on 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Salcedo 1–0 Moca.
Going into the match, Salcedo had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Moca had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Salcedo's last 10 and 4 of Moca's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Salcedo averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Moca averaged 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Salcedo and 0.44 from Moca. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 11%, against 55%, 26% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Salcedo (green) and Moca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Aug 2026 · Moca 0–0 Salcedo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Salcedo Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Salcedo HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.