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Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne vs Rodez prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Saint Etienne host Rodez in the Ligue 2 (France) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Saint Etienne 2–0 Rodez.
Going into the match, Saint Etienne had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 12. Rodez had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Saint Etienne's last 10 and 7 of Rodez's last 10; 10 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Saint Etienne averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Rodez averaged 1.56 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.71 goals from Saint Etienne and 1.27 from Rodez. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 15%, against 64%, 21% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Saint Etienne (green) and Rodez (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | WDLWW | 3.20 | 1.20 | 70% | 100% |
| Rodez | WLLLD | 1.90 | 2.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 May 2026 · Saint Etienne 0–0 Rodez
- 2 May 2026 · Rodez 2–1 Saint Etienne
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 82% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Saint Etienne Win | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.